Data and methodology

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Date published
18 Nov 2018
Type
Websites
Keywords
Assessment & Analysis, System-wide performance, Targeting, Identification and Profiling
Organisations
European Union
Link
http://conflictrisk.jrc.ec.europa.eu/Methodology

The GCRI uses a linear regression model including historical data to train the model. We first determined the predictive value of the 24 variables regarding conflict onsets in the past 20 years. We then applied the results to our final model and derived the weights for our indicators from their significance regarding the model performance.